Tonys Picks

⚾🔥 BLUE JAYS vs GUARDIANS — SEPTEMBER 1 MLB PICK

Cleveland is laying around -180 at home…

Ramon Scott thinks that price is TOO HIGH. 👀

💰 RAMON’S PICK: TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Why take a shot on the underdog?

🔥 Toronto enters on a 3-game winning streak after sweeping Seattle
📊 Gavin Williams has struggled against this Blue Jays lineup
➡️ Toronto hitters own a .357 average and .482 wOBA against him across 48 plate appearances
📉 Cleveland just dropped a home series to Kansas City
💵 Ramon believes Cleveland’s true price should be closer to -140 — not nearly -180

Williams is still a dangerous pitcher with a 32% strikeout rate, so this is not about saying Cleveland is bad.

It’s about VALUE.

Ramon sees Toronto as a live road dog capable of keeping this game close — and potentially winning it outright.

💰 Higher upside: BLUE JAYS MONEY LINE
🛡️ Safer option: BLUE JAYS RUN LINE

Would you take the plus money with Toronto tonight? 👇

🔵 Blue Jays ML
🛡️ Blue Jays +1.5
🔴 Guardians ML

Drop your pick below!



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Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction, September 1: Ramon Scott Takes a Shot with Toronto Ramon Scott previews Blue Jays vs Guardians for September 1 and backs Toronto as a live underdog against an overpriced Cleveland home favorite.

⚾🔥 GIANTS vs PIRATES — SEPTEMBER 1 MLB PICK

Logan Webb vs Paul Skenes.

Two quality starters. Two quiet offenses. Ramon Scott sees one clear way to attack this matchup. 👀

💰 RAMON’S PICK: FIRST 5 INNINGS UNDER

Why he likes it:

🔥 Logan Webb owns a 1.04 WHIP over his last five starts
🔒 Pittsburgh hitters have batted just .211 against Webb across 62 plate appearances
⚾ Paul Skenes has seen FOUR straight starts finish under
📉 Neither offense has been producing much damage lately
🚫 First 5 avoids Pittsburgh’s shakier bullpen and keeps the bet focused on the two starters

That last point matters.

Rather than sweat the bullpens late, Ramon wants his wager settled while Webb and Skenes control the game.

The biggest danger? One bad inning can ruin any early under — but Ramon believes the pitching matchup gives the UNDER the edge.

💰 Official Play: Giants vs Pirates FIRST 5 UNDER

What’s your read tonight? 👇

🔵 First 5 UNDER
🔥 Full Game UNDER
⚾ Webb/Skenes strikeout props
💥 OVER

Drop your pick in the comments!



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Giants vs Pirates Over Under Pick, September 1: Ramon Scott Backs an Early Pitchers’ Duel Ramon Scott previews Giants vs Pirates for September 1 and takes the first-five under with Logan Webb and Paul Skenes facing two quiet offenses.

⚾🔥 PADRES vs REDS — SEPTEMBER 1 MLB PICK

Ramon Scott is sticking with San Diego on the road tonight.

✅ PICK: San Diego Padres Money Line

Why Ramon likes the Padres:

🔥 Randy Vasquez has posted a 2.57 ERA over his last five starts
📉 Cincinnati is just 10–20 as a home underdog
⚾ The Reds’ lineup has struggled to consistently generate offense
💪 San Diego has the stronger overall roster and a bullpen Ramon trusts late

Nick Lodolo has been much better recently, posting a 1.83 ERA over his last four games, so this isn’t a free square. But with his elevated WHIP and home-run vulnerability, Ramon believes San Diego has enough offense to get the job done.

There’s also an UNDER angle worth watching, with this matchup potentially setting up as a lower-scoring Padres victory.

💰 Ramon’s official play: PADRES ML

Are you riding with San Diego tonight, or do you think Cincinnati pulls off the home upset? 👇

Watch the full breakdown and get more daily MLB picks from Tony’s Picks.



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⚾🔥 MLB NRFI & YRFI PICKS FOR SEPTEMBER 1

Think you can survive the first inning tonight? 👀

We broke down the full MLB board using pitch-by-pitch data from 1,168 games — and three first-inning spots immediately stood out.

🔒 BEST NRFI: Giants vs Pirates

Paul Skenes and Logan Webb have BOTH allowed a first-inning run in just 20.0% of their starts in our data window.

Two elite arms. Two quiet early-inning offenses.

💥 BEST YRFI: Mets vs Rays

Freddy Peralta has been scored on in the first inning in 53.3% of his starts — the highest rate among tonight’s heavily sampled starters.

And don’t automatically assume Coors Field means YRFI either… Kyle Bradish has allowed a first-inning run in just 7.1% of his starts. 👀

Which one are you riding tonight?

🔵 NRFI — Giants/Pirates
🔴 YRFI — Mets/Rays
🤔 Something else

Drop your best first-inning play below! 👇

Read the full MLB NRFI & YRFI breakdown at Tony’s Picks.

MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks Today 9-1-2026: Tony Tellez Backs the Skenes-Webb Double Twenty in Pittsburgh and Hammers YRFI at the Trop MLB NRFI YRFI picks for 9/1/26 back Skenes and Webb in Pittsburgh, then target Peralta-Manaea for first-inning runs at the Trop tonight.

⚾ Brewers vs Cubs Prediction — August 31

⏱️ Ramon Scott is betting the FIRST FIVE.

Milwaukee and Chicago open a key NL Central series at Wrigley Field, and Ramon sees the strongest betting angle in the starting pitching matchup.

🔥 Kyle Harrison brings a 2.78 ERA for Milwaukee.
🔥 Clay Holmes enters with a 2.26 ERA for Chicago.
🌬️ The wind is blowing out, but only around 7–9 MPH.
📉 The Cubs have lost 7 of their last 10.

With two high-level starters on the mound, Ramon is looking to avoid the bullpen and late-game Wrigley volatility altogether.

🎯 RAMON SCOTT’S PICK:
FIRST 5 INNINGS UNDER

The idea is simple: trust the starters to control the game early and get out before the late-inning variables take over.

👇 Do you trust the pitching enough to back the F5 Under?

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MLB BULLPEN FATIGUE REPORT — 8/31/2026

Late innings could make all the difference on tonight’s MLB card.

Boston enters with a massive fatigue score of 80—the highest on the board—while the Yankees, Reds, Padres, and White Sox are also carrying heavy bullpen workloads.

🚨 PENS TO WATCH:
🔴 Boston Red Sox — 80
🔴 New York Yankees — 66
🔴 Cincinnati Reds — 64
🔴 San Diego Padres — 64
🔴 Chicago White Sox — 60

Meanwhile, several teams enter the night with much fresher relief arms, including Philadelphia, Milwaukee, the Mets, Minnesota, and Atlanta. 🟢

Tony Tellez breaks down where bullpen fatigue could create late-game betting angles, live opportunities, and totals to watch.

👇 Which bullpen do you trust most tonight?

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